It’s supposed to be a national emergency, but is it to Trump?

Trump may or may not declare a national emergency tonight. I think he really wants to do this because this is in his nature, but White House lawyers and advisors may hold sway and check his natural impulses to do anything to get what he wants. I think it will be far more telling if he doesn’t declare a national emergency than if he does. It may demonstrate that at least on a few occasions he can act rationally.

Knowing that his final decision may rest on what he hears on Fox News minutes before the cameras roll, assuming his advisors want to prevent him from making the declaration, they would be well advised to keep him away from a phone or television.

I expect the Democrats will be allowed by all the networks to offer their rebuttal which may be more interesting that Trump’s announcement because it will show how well they respond in real-time to the lies Trump will use in his speech whether or not he declares the emergency. Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer will deliver the response to whatever Trump says tonight.

Since others are addressing the ramifications of declaring a national emergency when none exists I thought I’d see what was on his twittering mind this morning.

Here are Trump’s Tweets in order:

Economic numbers looking REALLY good. Can you imagine if I had long-term ZERO interest rates to play with like the past administration, rather than the rapidly raised normalized rates we have today. That would have been SO EASY! Still, markets up BIG since 2016 Election!

This shows that Trump is quite aware of the reaction to the reports about the stock market. Almost exactly a year ago CNN reported that “President Donald Trump has spared no opportunity to brag about the surging stock market in recent days. He has a point. It took the market almost 100 years to reach 5,000. It’s grown more than 5,000 points in Trump’s first year in office.” It is obvious what he is doing in this Tweet: distracting from the facts that the precipitous drops in the market and its volatility has many investors nervous.

This was his Tweet from January last year:

Dow goes from 18,589 on November 9, 2016, to 25,075 today, for a new all-time Record. Jumped 1000 points in last 5 weeks, Record fastest 1000 point move in history. This is all about the Make America Great Again agenda! Jobs, Jobs, Jobs. Six trillion dollars in value created!

Next, he moves onto something which he can spin as good news, comments which he managed to find from the president of a W. Virginia local United Steel Workers chapter. I can’t find the actual source of this quote to see where Trump came up with it.

“The President is the biggest and best supporter of the Steel Industry in many years. We are now doing really well. The Tariffs let us compete. Was unfair that the Steel Industry lost its jobs to unfair trade laws. Very positive outcome.” Mark Glyptis, United Steelworkers

Glyptis has been a Trump supporter for some time as this article from a March, 2018 W. Virgina Paper shows.

Next, on the subject of trade:

Talks with China are going very well!

According to Reuters:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday that trade talks with China were going very well and that weakness in the Chinese economy gave Beijing a reason to work toward a deal.

U.S. officials are meeting with their counterparts in Beijing this week for the first face-to-face talks since Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping in December agreed to a 90-day truce in a trade war that has roiled international markets.

Trump imposed import tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of Chinese goods to pressure Beijing to change its practices on issues ranging from industrial subsidies to hacking. China retaliated with tariffs of its own.

All this suggests is that it is a question of “who blinked first?” Trump will say that his America first trade policy and China’s weak economy caused them to blink. But did they? Hard to say since China’s retaliated. Also consider this from CNBC: “More stock market carnage could force Trump to make a China trade deal, expert says.”

Many of the ongoing issues Washington has had with Beijing have been going on for many years, Dutt (a professor at INSEAD an international business school, ranked one of the best in the world) said, adding that a lot of them are key to China’s national economic development strategy.

The most likely outcome is that “China gives some minor concessions as it has done in the past, either on the technology transfer or the intellectual property, or also market access for goods and energy,” he said. “That allows the Trump administration to declare victory and move on.”

I won’t give Trump’s trade war credit for any success for improving economic relations with China since I am not an expert, through from what I have read it appears that if things to get better it will have been because the time was ripe and China was ready.

Trump’s final Tweet of the morning was made at 6:42. It was about Clemson routing Alabama to win its second national title in three years. Of course Trump was thinking about his own glory as he can hardly wait for the Oval Office photo-ops.

Congratulations to a truly great football team, the Clemson Tigers, on an incredible win last night against a powerful Alabama team. A big win also for the Great State of South Carolina. Look forward to seeing the team, and their brilliant coach, for the second time at the W.H.

Presumably Trump wasn’t so worried about the national emergency that he missed watching football on television last night.

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Copyright © 2018 Capitol Hill Blue

Sunday Funnies: How Trump’s Weird Wonderful Wall Will Work

If you check Trump’s Twitter account this morning you’ll see that he’s pinned the photo above on the top of the page. You may also notice that when you type his name in the search box you may be amused to see this:

Notice that while he is on the top of the list The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump is next. On the bottom of the list you’ll find a Twitter sarcastic mock-up of his page started by a man with time on his hands and TrumpComedyNerd.

Back to the border:

This is one of Trump’s Sunday morning Tweets:

...The only reason they do not want to build a Wall is that Walls Work! 99% of our illegal Border crossings will end, crime in our Country will go way down and we will save billions of dollars a year! A properly planned and constructed Wall will pay for itself many times a year!

Deconstructing this Tweet we see Trump still suffers from Delusional Democratic Demonization Syndrome (DDDS). He says that the only reason Democrats don’t want to build a wall is because they work. No doubt when the Democrats talk to him about their reasons, from it’s being immoral to being an ineffective use of resources, their words enter his brain though is ears and never make it to the parts of the brain used for logical thinking.

Trump would be hard pressed to find any expert who isn’t bought and paid for to say that any barrier could stop 99% of illegal border crossings. The only wall that was that effective was in post-war Berlin, and we know why it was so effective.

As for the numbers, if you want to believe him when he says that the wall pay for itself many times a year consider that this is the president who also Tweeted: “How do you impeach a president who has won perhaps the greatest election of all time, done nothing wrong (no Collusion with Russia, it was the Dems that Colluded), had the most successful first two years of any president, and is the most popular Republican in party history 93%?”

We now learn from The New York Times (and MSNBC below) that invoking the mantra of “Build the Wall” was a rhetorical device to help Trump gin up fear and bigotry during the campaign.

This is how Chuck Schumer responded to Trump’s Tweet: “Enough with the memes. Just quit hurting innocent people and re-open the government.” (below)

Trump promises that once he has his wall crime will go “way down.” Unless he means the misdemeanor crime of entering the country illegally, this is nincompoopery . Of course he wants to convey that the crimes that will go “way down” are drugs, human trafficking, an MS-13 thuggery.

Like Trump’s ubiquitous invocation of “many people say” when many apparently means the last three people he heard from, “way down” means whatever he wants it to mean.

In a rambling speech composed of his usual loose associations on the White House lawn before leaving for Camp David today Trump talked about the steel slat wall and segued into praising the American steel industry, implying I suppose that building the wall will also be a boon to steel workers.

Extraordinarily, Trump has found a way to assure nobody dares cross our southern border illegally, and to cut the number of armed-to-the-teeth federal cops who patrol the border drastically.

All he has to do is have giant billboards of his menacing visage placed every hundred feet glaring across his line of slats into Mexico.

If you look closely (above, right) you’ll see that the that someone found a font that (1) looks like concrete (or perhaps styrofoam — there’s an idea for a much cheaper wall) and (2) put a slat in the center of the letter “O.”

All this proves that he has at least one competent on his staff, albeit a graphic artist for his Tweets.

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Copyright © 2018 Capitol Hill Blue

Trump’s tweets show an angry reptilian brain, Obama’s show humanity, humor

Trump and Obama’s Tweets

Trump, ignoring what any rational person would see as threats to their employment status, to put it mildly (check out the odds of him making it through his first term), once again went berserk on Twitter this morning focusing mostly on the border wall.

This morning:


1. Fake News has it purposely wrong. Many, over ten, are vying for and wanting the White House Chief of Staff position. Why wouldn’t someone want one of the truly great and meaningful jobs in Washington. Please report news correctly. Thank you!

2. Very productive conversations going on with China! Watch for some important announcements!

3. Great job by Michael Anton on @FoxandFriends. A true National Security expert!

4 ….People do not yet realize how much of the Wall, including really effective renovation, has already been built. If the Democrats do not give us the votes to secure our Country, the Military will build the remaining sections of the Wall. They know how important it is!
5 …. I look forward to my meeting with Chuck Schumer & Nancy Pelosi. In 2006, Democrats voted for a Wall, and they were right to do so. Today, they no longer want Border Security. They will fight it at all cost, and Nancy must get votes for Speaker. But the Wall will get built…
6….however, for strictly political reasons and because they have been pulled so far left, do NOT want Border Security. They want Open Borders for anyone to come in. This brings large-scale crime and disease. Our Southern Border is now Secure and will remain that way…….
7…..Ice, Border Patrol and our Military have done a FANTASTIC job of securing our Southern Border. A Great Wall would be, however, a far easier & less expensive solution. We have already built large new sections & fully renovated others, making them like new. The Democrats,…..
8 Despite the large Caravans that WERE forming and heading to our Country, people have not been able to get through our newly built Walls, makeshift Walls & Fences, or Border Patrol Officers & Military. They are now staying in Mexico or going back to their original countries…….

As it happens, most of these Tweets about the wall are lies, whether he has 10 actual qualified applicants for the chief of staff position is doubtful, and I doubt conversations with China will be productive for anyone besides China.

President Obama had one recent Tweet and it is already two days old. You can watch his video here if you are ready for fond memories of pre-Trump Christmas and Chanukkah seasons.

Barack Obama’s Dec. 10, 2018 Tweet and video

Here’s a president having a serious and calm, yet wryly humorous chat with his 104 million Twitter followers. Take that Donald Trump with your 56.2 million followers.

The “reptile brain” is shorthand for the part of the brain responsible for the fight or flight response. Trump’s reptile brain seems wired to fight, and to fight using any available means including venom, and never to flee. It could be said that a snake, even a cobra, fighting a mongoose would be well advised to flee.

“The mongoose is incredible, blurringly swift and is capable of dodging the strikes of the also very swift cobra, but the mongoose also possesses something called acetylcholine receptors which make it , not fully immune, but relatively tolerant of cobra venom. When it makes its move, the mongoose leaps, teeth bared, directly for the head of the snake. If the mongoose grabs the snake correctly it will kill it by biting right into its skull.” Reference

We know that Trump’s mongoose is named Mueller.

Trump’s reptile brain doesn’t seem to have a connection to his rational brain, the cognitive brain which enables most people to consider the longer term consequences of impulsive actions. In this day and age, Tweets are actions. Legal experts think some of them may end up as evidence of obstruction of justice or witness tampering.

Trump’s reptile brain doesn’t seem to have circuitry to enable it to connect to whatever part of the brain is capable of empathy. In fact it is difficult to find examples of Trump showing any other feelings besides anger, self-glorification, and boredom since he’s been president.

There has been reporting in the past two days that he “felt humiliated” when Nick Ayers turned down the chief of staff job; however I doubt this is true. True, he was humiliated. However, I don’t think he actually felt the feelings of humiliation (shame and embarrassment) someone who isn’t a malignant narcissist would feel.

In fact, Trump has been repeatedly humiliated, as an online search for Trump and humiliation shows. 

You’d never know it from his Tweets.


Afterword:

Dr. John Gartner, PhD, founder of the Duty to Warn group of psychotherapists (disclaimer: I was one of the first members) who have been warning about Trump having psychological problems making him unfit for two years, and co-author Rachel Montgomery, saved me the work of selecting a sample of Trump’s most revealing hostile Tweets, abet from last year, in this excerpt from their 2017 book “All I Ever Wanted to Know about Donald Trump I Learned From His Tweets.”