Politics

Shifting demographics and America’s destiny

More fuel for the immigration debate: The Pew Research Center says immigration will drive the U.S. population sharply upward between now and 2050 — and will push whites into a minority.

The Hispanic population will triple in size to become 29 percent of an American population of 438 million people. Eighty percent of the increase will be due to immigrants and their U.S.-born children.

What will shifting demographics mean for America’s future politics and culture? Ben Boychuk and Joel Mathis, the moderators of RedBlueAmerica.com, weigh in.

Clinton’s lost momentum

Her nomination was supposed to be such a foregone conclusion that she didn’t even mount substantial get-out-the-vote operations in key states, including Ohio and Texas. What happened to Hillary Rodham Clinton’s cloak of inevitability?

Mathematically, the former first lady and current senator from New York could still win the Democratic presidential nomination and possibly the general election in November. But she’s blown a 20-point lead. Winning is an uphill fight for her now.

Black lawmakers, leaders dump Hillary

In a fresh sign of trouble for Hillary Rodham Clinton, one of the former first lady’s congressional black supporters intends to vote for Barack Obama at the Democratic National Convention, and a second, more prominent lawmaker is openly discussing a possible switch.

Rep. David Scott’s defection and Rep. John Lewis’ remarks highlight one of the challenges confronting Clinton in a campaign that pits a black man against a woman for a nomination that historically has been the exclusive property of white men.

“You’ve got to represent the wishes of your constituency,” Scott said in an interview Wednesday in the Capitol. “My proper position would be to vote the wishes of my constituents.” The third-term lawmaker represents a district that gave more than 80 percent of its vote to Obama in the Feb. 5 Georgia primary.

Lewis, whose Atlanta-area district voted 3-to-1 for Obama, said he is not ready to abandon his backing for the former first lady. But several associates said the nationally known civil rights figure has become increasingly torn about his early endorsement of Clinton. They spoke on condition of anonymity, citing private conversations.

Hillary losing ground with whites, women

Hillary Rodham Clinton’s crushing losses in Maryland and Virginia highlight an erosion in what had been solid advantages among women, whites and older and working-class voters.

While this week’s results can be explained by those states’ relatively large numbers of blacks and well-educated residents — who tend to be Barack Obama supporters — her presidential campaign could be doomed if the trends continue.

Clinton is holding onto some of her supporters who are largely defined by race and often by level of education, such as low-income white workers and older white women, exit polls of voters show. She’s been losing other blocs, again stamped by personal characteristics, such as blacks, men and young people both black and white, and better-educated whites.

Is Hillary’s fall a loss for women too?

It’s Obama’s to lose now. The race is as good as over.

On the Democratic side that is. The Obama Phenom is gaining velocity and surge, not losing it. Sen. Barack Obama will get his comeuppance from the media—the kind of sorting-through-each-pebble raking that all front-runners endure. But he’ll get it after he passes the magic number of 2,025 delegates that allows him to slip his finger through the Democratic gold ring — the nomination. His raking will come too late to benefit Sen. Hillary Clinton.

Revisiting the youth vote

I went to see the best pundit I know to understand what the primaries mean so far. Of course, she must remain anonymous. Otherwise, everyone would consult her too, and I would lose my best source.

Her real name is not Anabelle but that’s the one she wants me to use when I write about our conversations.

Obama cuts into Hillary’s base

Hillary Rodham Clinton has set up Texas and Ohio as her firewall, but the results from Democratic presidential rival Barack Obama’s most recent victories give her plenty of reason to worry it will hold up.

McCain ‘fired up’ by victories

Republican John McCain said he was “fired up and ready to go” against either Democratic presidential contender as he celebrated primary victories Tuesday in Maryland, Virginia and the District of Columbia.

“We do not yet know for certain who will have the honor of being the Democratic Party’s nominee for president,” McCain said of Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton. “But we know where either of their candidates will lead this country, and we dare not let them.”

He told supporters at a hotel in Alexandria, Va.: “My friends, I promise you, I am fired up and ready to go.”

Another Obama sweep; McCain wins VA, MD, DC

Barack Obama ran his winning streak to 8 for 8 Tuesday night, sweeping the Virginia, Maryland and District of Columbia primaries, following up on strong wins in five other primaries and caucuses over the past week.

Obama finishes the sweep as the undisputed front runner for the Democratic Presidential nomination and the final delegate count is expected to wipe out Hillary Rodham Clinton’s presumptive lead among so called “super delegates.”

On the GOP side, John McCain continued his inevitable march to the Republican nomination with close wins in Virginia and DC and a convincing win in Maryland.

Clinton, shaking up her campaign staff by sacking her manager and deputy manager, appears to be conceding February to Obama, deciding instead to concentrate on delegate-laden states like Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Karma comes crashing down on Clintons

For years, Bill and Hillary Clinton treated the Democratic National Committee and party activists as extensions of their White House ambitions, pawns in a game of success and survival.

She may pay a high price for their selfishness soon.

Top Democrats, including some inside Hillary Clinton’s campaign, say many party leaders — the so-called superdelegates — won’t hesitate to ditch the former New York senator for Barack Obama if her political problems persist. Their loyalty to the first couple is built on shaky ground.