Another poll, another lead for Romney

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney waves after speaking at a campaign stop at Bun’s Restaurant in Delaware, Ohio October 10, 2012.
(REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton)

Republican challenger Mitt Romney has pulled ahead of President Barack Obama in the race for the White House for the first time in more than a month and leads 45 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Wednesday.

With just under four weeks to go before the November 6 election, Romney’s surge followed his strong performance against Obama in last week’s debate and erased a jump in support that Obama had enjoyed following the September 3-6 Democratic National Convention.

The poll showed that voters have warmed to Romney across a range of policy issues following the debate.

On Tuesday, the tracking poll had the two candidates tied at 45 percent. Obama had a steady lead in the daily tracking poll for most of September after the Democratic convention but Romney narrowed the gap after the debate and finally inched ahead on Wednesday.

“We have always felt that this was going to be a very close election and the numbers now reflect that – they are head to head, which is where they were pre- both conventions,” said Ipsos pollster Julia Clark.

“This is where they’ll remain, with some movement of course, until we hit Election Day,” Clark said.

‘SIGNIFICANT GAINS’

Romney gained significant ground against Obama among registered voters on a number of economic policy issues from October 6-10, compared to the four-day period leading up to the October 3 debate on domestic policy.

“Romney has made significant gains in terms of his perception with voters,” Clark said. “He has really caught up to Obama on some key issues. The debate was perhaps the trigger, and the positive coverage Romney gained from the debate … is also part of the explanation on this.”

Poll respondents said Romney was best placed to handle the U.S. economy, help fix unemployment and deal with the federal deficit.

Romney’s best showing against Obama was for his plan to tackle the federal deficit. A total of 39 percent of registered voters said Romney had a better approach to the deficit, compared to 27 percent for Obama. The two were tied at 33 percent on that issue before the debate.

While Obama lost some ground to Romney, poll respondents still said the president had the better approach on healthcare, the Social Security retirement program, the Medicare health insurance program for the elderly and disabled, gay marriage and the fight against terrorism.

On taxes, Obama still had an edge over Romney but the president’s support dropped by 7 percentage points while Romney’s rose by 4 percentage points.

The online survey of 1,027 likely voters was conducted between October 6 and October 10. The precision of the poll is measured using a credibility interval, which is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Among the 1,199 registered voters questioned, the credibility interval is plus or minus 3.3 percent.

(c) Copyright Thomson Reuters 2012

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3 Responses to "Another poll, another lead for Romney"

  1. Bill Cravener  October 11, 2012 at 9:39 am

    God I get so sick of these meaningless national polls. If one must be obsessed with polling the only polling to even consider is the Electoral College forecast polls and even they vary greatly.

  2. blutodog  October 11, 2012 at 8:06 pm

    The electorate sure is fickle that’s for sure. If I were RMONEY I wouldn’t put that much stock in these polls this far out. In the lead today and down 3 tomorrow. What happened to Obama last Wed. could happen to Willard tomorrow. RCP today showed Obama starting to re-bound and Nate Silver is seeing something similar starting happen. RMONEY’s just as weak as Obama is and both of them are disliked by the majority of their own bases.

    • Jon  October 12, 2012 at 6:08 am

      If I were you, I’d try to leave the kindergarten name-calling at the door. Emotions are allowed, but deliberate insults based on a (proven) photoshopped image are beneath us. Others may do so, and gain some advantage thereby, but I like to think we can do better.

      J.

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