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Texas Congressman — and three time Presidential loser — Ron Paul admitted the obvious this week.
He won’t win the GOP Presidential nomination. He won’t even come close.
In an email to supporters late Wednesday, also received at the offices of Capitol Hill Blue, Paul said:
When it is all said and done, we will likely have as many as 500 supporters as delegates on the Convention floor. That is just over 20 percent! And while this total is not enough to win the nomination, it puts us in a tremendous position to grow our movement and shape the future of the GOP!
Then Paul’s son threw the final spade of dirt on his father’s political grave Thursday by endorsing Mitt Romney for President and vowing to campaign actively for the presumptive GOP nominee.
The elder Paul’s claim to have “as many as 500 supporters at delegates on the Convention floor” is optimistic at best. The Republican National Committee’s current delegate count — following this week’s primaries — gives Romney 1,480 delegates and Paul 137 with 261 delegates remaining. Even if Paul won all the remaining delegates — which is not only unlikely but impossible — he would go into the convention with 398 delegates.
He might pick up a handful of the delegates still bound to former candidates Rick Santorum (267) or New Gingrich (138) but since both have endorsed Romney, most of their supporters will feel an obligation to follow their candidate’s lead.
And before the Paul faithful starts posting the usual autobot flow of links to sites that claim different delegate counts, they should remember that political conventions are anything but democratic and the only delegate count that matters is the one controlled by the RNC — the folks who run the convention.
Ron Paul’s email and Rand Paul‘s endorsement of Romney has left many of the elder Paul’s die-hard flock of enthusiastic — if not realistic — supporters feeling like a Christian Scientist with appendicitis.
The Liberty movement is big and sprawling, and the only thing holding this faction together is Ron Paul. And now we are seeing it start to blow apart. People are canceling their subscriptions in droves. Traffic on the site peaked back in January. Ron Paul is retiring from Congress next year.
“I’m not much interested in leading the masses into the Republican Party,” Nystrom adds. “This site will not become the Daily Rand.”
With Paul effectively throwing in the towel, albeit long after the other fighters left the ring, what happens to the movement he spawned?
Will it continue? Or will it simply become another failed, flash-in-the-pan populist movement destined for the trashcan of hopeless lost political causes?
Nobody with a firmly-planted sense of political reality ever expected Ron Paul to be the GOP Presidential nominee. The last antiwar candidate to capture the top spot on a Republican or Democrat presidential ticket was George McGovern.
While some can argue — and some also see a legitimate need — for a political “revolution,” the sad truth is the American political system has no place for insurgents and the rules of the game favor the establishment.
In an ideal world, it shouldn’t be that way.
Politics, however, is far from ideal. In the real world, Ron Paul never stood a chance and with his son now supporting the GOP establishment the flame in the torch that the father hoped to one day pass on to his son may have gone out.