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Who’s the GOP frontrunner? That depends

By SUSAN WALKER - Capitol Hill Blue Political Correspondent
October 13, 2011

Herman Cain

Depending on which poll you read, either former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney or former Godfather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain is the frontrunner for the Republican nomination to challenge President Barack Obama in 2012.

Reuters/Ipsos has Romney leading Cain 23 to 20 percent while NBC/Wall Street Journal has Cain in front of Romney.

Both polls show significant gains for Cain in recent weeks while Romney’s support remains relatively static.  Reuters/Ipsos shows Texas Congressman Ron Paul a distant third and former frontrunner Rick Perry continuing his rapid slide and fading to fourth.  NBC/WSJ has Perry third and Paul fourth.

While Romney maintains his lead in one poll, his support is considered “soft” by both polling organizations.

“He’s not really a dominant figure at this point,” says Ipsos polling director Chris Jackson of Romney.

The NBC/WSJ poll shows Cain at 27 percent and Romney at 23 while Perry lags far behind at 16.  Perry has dropped 38 percent in recent weeks while Cain has surged from five percent — a gain of 22 points.

 

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2 Responses to Who’s the GOP frontrunner? That depends

  1. woody188

    October 13, 2011 at 11:59 am

    I like the Reuters release article.

    Four years ago this month, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani was the leader among Republican presidential hopefuls, well ahead of his nearest rival, Fred Thompson, who like Giuliani left the race early.

    Arizona Senator John McCain, the eventual nominee, was in third place in October 2007.

    So if history repeats itself, Ron Paul would be the nominee. ;-)

  2. Carl Nemo **==

    October 13, 2011 at 12:35 pm

    If Cain and Romney are the only candidates the rethugs have to offer against Obama, then he’s assured of reeelection. I’m not for either of these party candidates or the sitting president. This is just a strategic observation on my part.

    It would be a breath of fresh air if Ron Paul could get the nomination, just so the American people could have the chance to elect a systemic renegade who would send their entrenched, transgenerational political juggernaut to the bottom.

    Carl Nemo **==