Obama hedges on Afghan war

The Obama administration is holding off major decisions that could put its military forces on a firmer war footing in Afghanistan even as doubts grow about whether the United States can win there.

Many military and diplomatic leaders have urged President Barack Obama to send thousands more Marines, soldiers and pilots to try to reverse Afghanistan’s crumbling security situation.

But White House spokesman Robert Gibbs has said no decision about adding troops is expected for “weeks and weeks,” following what he described as intensive evaluation. The troop decision will be a first indicator of whether Obama intends to double down in Afghanistan, becoming a wartime president in earnest.

Leading Democrats in Congress have signaled they do not support a troop increase now, and maybe not at all. The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Adm. Mike Mullen, has the unhappy task of telling the Senate Armed Services Committee on Tuesday why the United States should stay the course and commit to what he calls a “properly resourced counterinsurgency effort.”

Mullen’s long-scheduled nomination hearing for a second term as the president’s chief military adviser will be chaired by Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., who warned the White House last week not to push for a big troop increase. He wants the Pentagon to focus on quicker training for Afghan security forces instead.

Mullen has sounded increasingly alarmed about the growing technical capabilities of a resurgent Taliban and about the lackluster support among Afghans for the foreign-run enterprise that purports to protect them from a homegrown insurgent movement.

“Time is not on our side,” Mullen said this month.

Postponing whether to add more American forces and alter other aspects of military strategy could give the White House breathing room for other priorities, including a health care overhaul and a hard-fought defense budget package.

Leading congressional Republicans, who have become Obama’s strongest supporters for the Afghan effort, are fretting that he will punt.

Sens. John McCain, R-Ariz., Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., and Joseph Lieberman, I-Conn., warned in a Wall Street Journal essay on Monday that muddling through is a recipe for disaster.

“More troops will not guarantee success in Afghanistan, but a failure to send them is a guarantee of failure,” they wrote.

Fifty-one U.S. troops died in Afghanistan in August, more than any other month since the U.S.-led invasion in October 2001. The rising casualty toll and the addition of 21,000 U.S. forces this year have heightened public scrutiny of what was once called the “forgotten war.” Now Iraq holds that distinction, although nearly twice as many U.S. soldiers remain stationed there than in Afghanistan.

Recent national polls indicate slipping support for the nearly eight-year war and growing doubt that it can be won. The latest AP-GfK survey finds that fewer than half — 46 percent — now approve of Obama’s handling of Afghanistan, a 9 percentage point drop since July.

A CNN poll conducted in the final four days of August said 42 percent supported the war and 57 percent opposed it. That compared with 53 percent supporting and 46 percent opposing in early April, days after Obama announced a new war strategy and vowed to provide resources to the war effort in ways his predecessor had not.

“I just don’t know that more troops is the answer,” Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, said Sunday on CNN. She is also a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee. “I’m just wondering where this ends and how we’ll know if this succeeded.”

Gen. Stanley McChrystal, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, is widely expected to ask for more forces for what he describes as a nearly complete do-over of the Bush administration’s strategy to fight an increasingly unpopular war.

That request is expected within two weeks, following a summer-long review and a classified assessment of the prospects for applying the revamped counterinsurgency strategy that Obama outlined earlier this year.

Congressional defense leaders are due to be briefed this week on McChrystal’s assessment, which was the subject of a White House huddle with top military leaders Sunday. The White House is also due to submit a set of Afghanistan benchmarks or performance tests to Congress next week.

The White House has been vague about what happens next, but Gibbs’ rough timeline suggests that any choices about whether to escalate the war will come after the worst of the fighting for this year. Because of the cold, fighting tends to ebb in mid- to late fall and begin again in earnest in mid-spring.

“I think it will be many weeks of evaluation and assessment,” Gibbs said.

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Anne Gearan covers national security policy for The Associated Press.

One Response to "Obama hedges on Afghan war"

  1. MightyMo  September 15, 2009 at 12:08 pm

    “The Obama administration is holding off major decisions that could put its military forces on a firmer war footing in Afghanistan even as doubts grow about whether the United States can win there.”

    Come on, this is ridiculous. This is one of the reasons we voted in the Democratic Party, because we want change!!
    The Republicans led us lambs to believe that we might win something noble in Iraq, but we didn’t win anything. Just what military goal do we expect to “win” in Afghanistan? In order to win something there must be something to win and a clear goal of when it has been achieved, this simply isn’t the case in Afghanistan.
    Even the Warsaw Pact who were able to simply drive to the war were unable to “win” in Afghanistan, why are we so damn stupid to believe that we can do it?
    We need to get out of there and let Middle Eastern History continue on as it has for centuries because we are not going to change it. Those people are as scared of wacko American Christian influence as I am.
    We are not going to be able to stop their Islamic laws. We are not going to be able to stop them from growing poppies. We are not going to be able to stop their disrespect for women when we can’t even entrust women in this country to make responsible choices about their own bodies.
    As I said before, this conflict is simply ridiculous, and now the Pentagon wants to expand it further.

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