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A lesson from the depression

By
October 3, 2008

Endlessly, to some degree dangerously, commentators keep comparing the nation’s present financial mess to the Great Depression, an assessment amiss in many ways but correct in at least one.

In both instances, it was largely government flubs prompting market malfunctions that sought out shoved calamity the public’s way, and that’s worth thinking about even if some are now saying we should fix the future instead of dwelling on what got us here.

The question matters, in part, because the business-belittling left is now arguing that it was greedy, out-of-control corporate executives and a relatively unfettered and generally unreliable marketplace that led to us to the present accumulation of junk assets and an imperiling credit crunch.

"Today’s headlines are brought to you by Bush-McCain economic policies, deregulation of financial markets and lapdog devotion to the speculative economy at the expense of the real economy in which working families live and struggle," John Sweeney, president of the AFL-CIO, has written.

We can and should grant that executives of some of the collapsing financial institutions behaved as if booms go on forever and blindly failed to notice that this one was constructed on the squishy foundation of suspect mortgages, but we shouldn’t stop there. We shouldn’t figure as the left does with its morally superior, told-you-so sarcasm that the lesson is to allow misbegotten capitalism ever-less freedom in a nation that can now start moving away from that silly idea.

Instead, we can observe that tour prosperity is plainly and simply the consequence of free markets that improve living standards wherever they are found, and we can trace most of the moment’s difficulties to governmental intervention _ to a law, bureaucrats and politicians pressuring lenders to extend mortgage loans to bad risks; to the Federal Reserve’s persistently low interest rates and to the creation (and liberal refusal to reform) the quasi-government leviathans, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

There’s nothing unusual in this. Probe the granddaddy of all this country’s various panics, the Great Depression of the 1930s, and you find a variety of contributing factors, but nothing that looms larger than a Federal Reserve that shrunk the money supply, according to a number of economists.

What’s more, some economists have written that various government fixes before and as part of the New Deal actually prolonged instead of shortened the national misery — among them the Smoot-Haley tariff, limiting agricultural production, efforts to lessen competition and the impositions of growth-stifling tax rates — even if some of the steps were ameliorative.

A chief problem is that central planners are seldom clever enough in assessing broad, complicated issues to avoid unintended consequences, an argument insufficiently heard during our congressional debate by leaders of both left and right as if there were one and only one answer.

Maybe so, but maybe, too, a Harvard economics lecturer had it right in a CNN opinion piece that worrisome financial assets could be sold to private concerns and that you would sooner or later find lenders coming along to make money by giving credit to those who are trustworthy.

The writer, Jeffrey Miron, also spoke of all the "scare-mongering" going on, and this wish to frighten us into $700 billion worth of action, I think, has been one reason for all the references to the Depression, even if engendering fear could create more chaos and we know that the possibilities of something so awful as that catastrophe are practically nil.

There are serious, immediate threats, of course, but there are also threats if what we do today is followed by a loss of faith in a great economic system and continued efforts to displace the energy of free men and women in their economic pursuits with overdone regulation.

 

(Jay Ambrose, formerly Washington director of editorial policy for Scripps Howard newspapers and the editor of dailies in El Paso, Texas, and Denver, is a columnist living in Colorado. He can be reached at SpeaktoJay(at)aol.com.)

5 Responses to A lesson from the depression

  1. ErnestoCHB

    October 3, 2008 at 12:57 pm

    Jay Ambrose does not mention “buying on margin” or $1000 will buy you $30,000 worth of stock “on margin”. The down payment will get you started…and soon the stock market crash of 1929 hit with PANIC! While we can think of several dozen politicians who could step off ledges and cause widespread parties and celebrations, no Wall Street types have done so. Heck, maybe a few business partners in 1929 were pushed for the insurance money…we don’t know. But we DO know that millions of voters are FED UP with this bailout “DONATION” for them to pay later and their grandkids to pay eternally plus interest. Sen. Feinstein reported that she had received 85,000 Emails, telegrams, letters and phone calls AGAINST the bailout SOOOO what does she do? Feinstein VOTES “FOR” the bailout!!!She decided that the voters didn’t know anything, had no sayso and could be safely ignored as MOST will forget by next election!!! GOOD_BYE and Don’t forget your “brimstone boots” FEINSTEIN!

    Ernesto Ramos PhD

  2. DejaVuAllOver

    October 3, 2008 at 2:15 pm

    Feinstein never gave a rat’s tush what anyone (except her chosen pals) thinks. Her true colors are showing now, more than ever. And this piece misses the mark by a couple radians. Government doesn’t cause these ‘malfunctions” as you put it, it just encourages them by relentlessly promoting the ‘greed is your friend’ mentality that allows a class of people to profit without doing anything useful, at the expense of those who DO work.
    Yet another noisy, sleight-of-hand piece designed to distract readers from the obvious.

  3. almandine

    October 3, 2008 at 4:51 pm

    Grammatical and referential errors aside, Jay…

    what’s your point ??? Overdone regulation ??? Don’t even go there !!! The last 8 years have seen the utter demise of federal regulation ACROSS THE BOARD… with the financial mess the only real visible indication of a government turned fraud.

    I’ve agreed with you from time to time… but you are completely out to lunch on this one.

  4. griff

    October 4, 2008 at 2:19 am

    Government flubs? Our poor, incompetent government messed up again. Oh well, open your wallets and shake out what’s left in them. Give me a break.

    You’ve apparently received your Talking Points memo from on high.

    “The only thing we learn from history, is that we don’t learn from history.” – Ron Paul

  5. history guy

    November 4, 2008 at 11:28 pm

    What regulations have died? There has been no deregulation!
    Look at the federal register. As much as I will be ecstatic to see Bushy go, everything is not his fault. Congress and both parties arranged this mess. Wall Street just ran with what was available. They have no principals.