| A few predictions for 2006
By LANCE GAY
Dec 26, 2005, 00:54
| Email this article
Printer friendly page
Here are our annual predictions:
Scandals rock Washington, as the federal investigation into the lobbying activities of Jack Abramoff and his associates will force the resignations of well-known politicians. But GOP efforts to revitalize the House Ethics Committee to clean up the mess in Congress will be stymied by partisan finger-pointing.
Republicans lose seats in the midterm elections but retain control of both the House and Senate with diminished majorities.
Upsets: Rep. Harold Ford, D-Tenn., beats impossible odds to defeat Republican Bob Corker for the Senate seat. Sen. Rick Santorum, R-Pa., is defeated.
In the House, his colleagues won't approve efforts by former House Republican leader Tom DeLay of Texas to regain his post as GOP leader.
A more-active-than-usual 2006 hurricane season, but not quite as nasty as it was in 2005.
More gloom in Detroit: Geely, manufacturer of the first Chinese-made sports car, begins selling its models in the United States at bargain-basement sticker prices ranging from $7,000 to $11,000 for a fully loaded model. For the first time, Toyota will exceed General Motors in U.S. car sales.
A withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq begins, with National Guard and Reserve forces heading home and replaced by the professional units drawn from Europe and Korea.
Baghdad's fractious politics worsen, with bare-knuckle political wrangling over who controls Iraq's oil revenues, and a worsening insurgency. Abu Mussab al-Zarqawi remains at large.
The U.S. economy looks strong on paper with productivity, corporate profits and growth-gaining. Consumer spending moderates, as Americans feel uneasy with declines in real wage growth for the fifth year, increased health care costs, and cooling housing prices.
Top business growth area: Do-it-for-me services, especially for boomers, who have the bank accounts to hire someone else to do the work, such as retiling the bathroom or paving the driveway.
Another business development: Big shopping malls really feel the impact of lost business to the Internet.
No more Supreme Court retirements this year.
No bird flu pandemic this year. But bird flu continues to be a concern, and sporadic human cases still crop up.
Mardi Gras survives in New Orleans, but frivolity is as faux as the gold carnival beads. By year's end, less than a third of the city's population will be back.
Gale Norton steps down as Interior Secretary.
On the social front:
On the sports pages:
So how did we do last year?
We were on spot forecasting two Supreme Court vacancies this year, and predicted a "busier-than-average hurricane season." We told readers Republican mavericks would derail Social Security reform.
We were way off the mark when we said that Hillary Rodham Clinton would make it clear she's not running for president in '08. While we're still hopeful Lindsay Lohan might become Hollywood's reigning starlet, it didn't happen, either. "Million Dollar Baby" (which we didn't mention) was the Academy Award winner for best picture, not "The Aviator" as we had expected.
Happy New Year.
(Contact Lance Gay at GayL(at)shns.com)
Copyright © 2006 Capitol Hill Blue. All rights reserved
| Just for the Hell of It
|Bikini clad French pol pix has tongues wagging|
|Feeling guilty can be good for you|
|Blogs ain't journalism|
|Introducing 'Politics on the Half-Shell'|
|Wind generators blow up a storm of protest|
|It was a heckuva thing to say|
|A few resolutions for Washington|
|A few predictions for 2006|
|Some better uses for Washington|
|New sources for heroin|